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Would Climate Change Influence the Potential Distribution and Ecological Niche of Bluetongue Virus and Its Main Vector in Peru?

dc.contributor.authorNavarro Mamani, Dennis Alexander
dc.contributor.authorRamos Huere, Heydi
dc.contributor.authorVera Buendia, Renzo
dc.contributor.authorRojas Montes, Miguel Ángel
dc.contributor.authorArque Chunga, Wilfredo
dc.contributor.authorValdez Gutiérrez, Edgar Alberto
dc.contributor.authorVergara Abarca, Walter Guillermo
dc.contributor.authorRivera Gerónimo, Hermelinda
dc.contributor.authorAltamiranda Saavedra, Mariano Augusto
dc.date.accessioned2023-08-31T22:39:53Z
dc.date.available2023-08-31T22:39:53Z
dc.date.issued2023
dc.identifier.urihttps://dspace.tdea.edu.co/handle/tdea/3828
dc.description.abstractBluetongue virus (BTV) is an arbovirus that is transmitted between domestic and wild ruminants by Culicoides spp. Its worldwide distribution depends on competent vectors and suitable environmental ecosystems that are becoming affected by climate change. Therefore, we evaluated whether climate change would influence the potential distribution and ecological niche of BTV and Culicoides insignis in Peru. Here, we analyzed BTV (n = 145) and C. insignis (n = 22) occurrence records under two shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios (SSP126 and SSP585) with five primary general circulation models (GCMs) using the kuenm R package v.1.1.9. Then, we obtained binary presence–absence maps and represented the risk of transmission of BTV and niche overlapping. The niche model approach showed that north and east Peru presented suitability in the current climate scenario and they would have a decreased risk of BTV, whilst its vector would be stable and expand with high agreement for the five GCMs. In addition, its niche overlap showed that the two niches almost overlap at present and would completely overlap with one another in future climate scenarios. These findings might be used to determine the areas of highest priority for entomological and virological investigations and surveillance in order to control and prevent bluetongue infections in Peru. Keywords: Peru; bluetongue virus; Culicoides insignis; ecological niche; climate change
dc.format.extent14 páginasspa
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdfspa
dc.language.isoengspa
dc.publisherMDPIspa
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/spa
dc.sourcehttps://www.mdpi.com/1999-4915/15/4/892spa
dc.subject.otherCulicoides insignis
dc.titleWould Climate Change Influence the Potential Distribution and Ecological Niche of Bluetongue Virus and Its Main Vector in Peru?
dc.typeArtículo de revistaspa
dc.rights.licenseAtribución 4.0 Internacional (CC BY 4.0)spa
dc.coverage.countryPerú
dc.identifier.eissn1999-4915spa
dc.publisher.placeSuizaspa
dc.relation.citationendpage14spa
dc.relation.citationissue4spa
dc.relation.citationstartpage1spa
dc.relation.citationvolume15spa
dc.relation.ispartofjournalVirusesspa
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dc.subject.agrovocPeru
dc.subject.agrovocPérou
dc.subject.agrovocPerú
dc.subject.agrovocBluetongue virus
dc.subject.agrovocVirus bluetongue
dc.subject.agrovocVírus da língua azul
dc.subject.agrovocVirus lengua azul
dc.subject.decsEcological niche
dc.subject.decsNicho Ecológico
dc.subject.decsEcosistema
dc.subject.decsEcosystem
dc.subject.decsEcossistema
dc.subject.decsÉcosystème
dc.subject.decsCambio Climático
dc.subject.decsClimate Change
dc.subject.decsMudança Climática
dc.subject.decsChangement climatique
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